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Basic Smarkometrics (10/9/15): The Post-Renaissance PWR Power Rankings

What's good, Internet? It's been two weeks since the Philippine Wrestling Revolution (PWR) rocked a jam-packed Makati Square Arena with Renaissance 2015, and now that the smoke has cleared, we're here with a brand new round of Smarkometrics-powered Power Rankings. 

If you'll recall from our inaugural edition of the rankings a month back, we said our mission here in life is to settle via hard facts who the best wrestler in the Philippines is today. 

How we define the "best wrestler" matters, and in this specific case, we defined him as follows:

The best wrestler is the wrestler that fights only the best, and wins when he's expected to—and even when he's not.

In plain English, we believe that a wrestler who wins 50% of his matches against main-eventers is better than one who wins 100% of his matches against jabronis. 

If you're down with that, let's rock. 


Winning Isn't Everything

In the comic world of pro wrestling, we know that wins and losses don't matter all that much. But they can be helpful in telling us who's being booked like a beast and who's jobbing his ass off. Let's take a look at the current win-loss records in a post-Renaissance world.

Green denotes a win, red denotes a loss. 
Right off the bat, we can see that former PWR Heavyweight Champion "Senyorito" Jake De Leon is the hardest-working man in PWR today, having worked nine matches thus far. Current champion "Classical" Bryan Leo is in hot pursuit with eight matches under his (extremely shiny) belt, while we have a whole slew of wrestlers having wrestled six matches, including Mayhem Brannigan, Bombay Suarez, Chris Panzer, and the newly-crowned Philippine Hybrid X (PHX) Champion, Ken Warren. 

If streaks were the only thing that mattered to us, we'd say that Bryan Leo is the hottest wrestler in the country today with a record-tying four straight wins. His Royal Flush stablemate John Sebastian tails closely with three straight victories, including two smashmouth wins against the rugged Bombay. Conversely, JDL, Suarez, and the recently-returned Main Maxx are ice-cold, with each man having dropped three straight decisions. The talented but maddeningly inconsistent Peter Versoza and SANDATA, formerly of Dual Shock until their acrimonious split at Renaissance, both bring up the rear with similar 0-5 records. Maybe breaking up was the best thing to do for that pair. #WalangForever

Let's take a look now at winning percentages ranked from highest to lowest. 

Mayhem Brannigan currently leads PWR with his best-in-the-country record of .833, but we now start to see some weird numbers popping up. By winning record, it would be easy to assume the crowd-darling pairing of Kanto Terror and Mark D. Manalo are the second- and third-best wrestlers in the country, trailed by Bryan Leo at number four and John Sebastian at number five. 

That doesn't seem to pass the eye-test, though. Two of Beer Promdi's wins have come against the winless Dual Shock, which doesn't exactly impress us, to be brutally frank.  

Strength of Schedule: Who's On The PWR Highway to Hell?

So we go to the next step of the Smarkometrics process, which is to evaluate the strength of schedule each wrestler has faced. To get this, we've added up the total winning rate of each and every opponent a wrestler has competed against throughout his PWR run. 

These are really informative numbers. We know that both SANDATA and Peter Versoza are winless in PWR, but that's because they've been matched up against opponents with near-.600 winning rates. All of a sudden, we become a little bit more forgiving of the fearsome Main Maxx for his measly .200 winning percentage; he's been faced up against opponents with a composite record of .652, easily the toughest slate any PWR wrestler has faced to date. 

But it's Mayhem Brannigan and Bryan Leo that interest us most. We know they have the #1 and #4 records respectively, but the Classical One has secured his while matched up against the third-toughest competition. Mayhem, on the other hand, has had an easier time at it, having faced competition that sports a below-.500 aggregate winning record. 

A weaker set of competitors means theoretically higher chances of winning. Maxx and the former Dual Shock partners have consistently been up against tough odds. So has Bryan Leo. That's a vital point we can't ignore.

It becomes clear that Kanto Terror and Mark D. Manalo have achieved their lofty winning records by facing off against inferior competition; of course they're expected to have high winning rates—they've been running the table against ham-and-eggers. 

Separating the Boys From the Men

So it becomes critical to find a simple way to visualize winning percentages versus strength of schedule. We like this simple table that divides the PWR roster into quadrants based on these two criteria. 

X-axis denotes winning percentage, while the y-axis denotes competitive quality. 
As with last time, this shows us four distinct kinds of competitors:

  • Warriors: Winning record against strong competition. 
  • Big Fish In Small Ponds: Winning records against soft competition. 
  • Fighting Spirit Award: Losing records, but against generally strong competition. 
  • Underachievers: Losing records against soft competition—chokers, if you will. 

This is where we're getting some separation between Mayhem and "Classical" Bryan Leo. The reigning PWR Champion is one of just three Warriors on the roster, while Brannigan is a clear-cut Big Fish, in the company of the now-unimpressive Kanto/Manalo tandem. But the distinction isn't a massive one; one more match against an above-.500 opponent will put him into the Warrior quadrant, win or lose. 

What's interesting is how we have a logjam of talents straddling the Underachiever-versus-Big-Fish line; all it will take is one loss from the Warren/Bombay/Rosales/Bax/Imabayashi cluster to fall into Underachiever zone, and nobody wants that. 

But let's go back to the original intent of this article. After the events of Renaissance, who is the definitive best wrestler in PWR today?

The Final Countdown

Here, we take the final step in the proprietary Smarkometrics process. We divide each man's actual winning rate versus his expected winning rate to determine who has been exceeding expectations the most, and it's an analysis that determines who the real king is.

Starting at number five is the new PHX Champion Ken Warren, making a massive five-spot leap into our rankings by virtue of his championship victory at Renaissance

This is well-deserved redemption for the self-anointed Human Trending Topic, who was in the midst of a three-match losing streak early on in his career, and seemed destined to be a bust on the pro wrestling circuit. Looks like the #CandidAttentionBandit has his mojo back (thanks maybe to his recent interview with Smark Henry?) and we can't wait to see big things droppin' and little things stoppin' in the world of K-Dub.

At number four is the rapidly-fading "Senyorito" Jake De Leon

The first-ever PWR Champion is in a horrible slump; after setting the gold standard with a four-match winning run on his way to the belt, he's now dropped three consecutive losses as he's unsuccessfully tried to reclaim the strap from the aforementioned Leo. The pride of Hacienda De Leon may need to step back and reevaluate where his career is headed.

At number three is the dangerous Jack of All Trades of the Royal Flush, John Sebastian.

Who can argue with the performance of this cocky bastard over the past few months? He's dispatched both the promising Ralph Imabayashi and the tough-as-nails Bombay in his last three outings, impressing everyone with his resilience and cunning. Joining the Flush may have been the best decision the Asshole from Ayala Alabang has ever made.

At number two is reigning PWR Heavyweight Champion, "Classical" Bryan Leo, dropping out of the number one spot after barely escaping with the gold in his Triple Threat defense against both JDL and the devastating Apocalypse two weeks back.

For those of you who don't know, you should know the champ looked shaky in his last outing, but for now, he's done just enough to stay in a respectable spot in our rankings. And don't overlook the fact that Bryan Leo isn't just fighting to defend his gold, he's fighting for a spot in history. One more win is all it will take to set a new record for longest-ever streak in PWR, and a man with as much pride as CBL won't let that chance pass him by, if only to spite his nemesis and co-record-holder, JDL. He may have fallen from the top spot, but don't count him out any time soon. The Force is strong in this one.

And so we have a new number one in the Smarkometrics Power Rankings, and his name is Mayhem Brannigan, making the leap up from last month's number four spot.

Say what you will about his comparatively weak competitive slate, the fact of the matter is that the Righteous One has been nearly unbeatable in his PWR tenure thus far. His only loss came at the hands of "Classical" Bryan Leo in their 30-minute Iron Man match at Wrevolution X. And he's come up with quality wins against the Apocalypse, Chris Panzer, and Miguel Rosales in recent months, while wowing the crowd with his death-defying dives and reckless abandon.

Simply put, nobody has done as much damage in PWR as Mrs. Brannigan's baby boy; just ask Robin Sane, his first-ever opponent, who was mauled so badly in his one and only match that he hasn't been seen in a wrestling ring since. Mayhem is just biding his time until his one-year moratorium against "Classical" Bryan Leo is up, and you can bet the leader of the Ryot Squad will be gunning for gold in just a few months time.

Mayhem may currently be on the PWR disabled list with a dislocated shoulder and broken nose, thanks to a beatdown from the Fighters 4 Hire, but as he likes to say, the false will fall and the righteous will rise, and this bad boy knows he's got what it takes to rule the roost in PWR. #RIGHT


What do you think of this edition of our Smarkometrics PWR Power Rankings? Do you feel that Bryan Leo deserves to hang on to last time's number one slot, or do you think Mayhem Brannigan is the rightful owner? Upset about Bombay Suarez falling all the way out of the top five in PWR? Drop us a line in the comments section, and let's have a good slap fight over it.


All photos are by the fabulous Hub Pacheco.

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